Thursday, December 16, 2010

BTU Ventures, BTU Industries, QGEN: the "numbers" don't add up.

Elsewhere in this blog there are several posts that discuss the claims made by BTU Ventures, BTU Industries, and QGEN regarding how they are "powering global development" or in a "quest to power global development." Ambitious claims.

It goes without saying that significant resources (personnel, MONEY, etc.) are required to achieve such world-class objectives. However, it appears that any of the organizations named above could consist of nothing more than:
  • Wael Al-Mazeedi
  • 10,000 sq. ft. of office space in Waltham, MA
  • A Human Resources "person"
  • One or two executive assistants
The management fee generated by the two investments remaining in BTU Power Company could not support anything more.

COST OF DOING BUSINESSS
EXECUTIVE
One data point regarding what should be, by reasonable inference, the highest salary of anybody in the group of companies mentioned above (Wael Al-Mazeedi):
  • "The Board of Directors has approved, and I am compensated, $440,000 annually..."  [1st Al-Mazeedi Affidavit, Paragraph 15(a)]
OTHER EMPLOYEES
Several data points from BTU Ventures employees that have reported their salaries anonymously in Glassdoor.com [Link: BTU Ventures Salaries | Glassdoor.com]. Only two of the reported salaries are included below:
  • Human Resources "person": $134K - $146K
  • Senior Executive Assistant: $67K - $73K
OFFICE SPACE
Another data point regarding what it costs to have an office in the "premier office park in suburban Boston"  [Link: Bay Colony Corporate Center]
SUBTOTAL COSTS
Al-Mazeedi + 10,000 sq. ft. office + HR person + 2 Assistants  > $1 million

REVENUES FROM "THE BUSINESS"
MANAGEMENT FEE
The structure of the management fee (applicable multiplier) is explained in the 1st Hayat Affidavit  [Paragraph 33]
  • "The management fee of two percent (2%) on committed capital and one percent (1%) on actual money called was chargeable only when the invested money was actually put out to investments"
  • The latest year (2007) for which Hayat includes any management fee data is 2007: $700,000.
The total amount of  "actual money called" (applicable investment base) is calculated in the section titled "What is QGEN?"
  • It was estimated that BTU Power Company invested capital was in the range of $98 million to $118 million. 
SUBTOTAL REVENUES
The current estimated management fee to BTU would be in the range of $980 thousand to $1.18 million.
NET RESULT
Keeping in mind the original premise, that the "business" consisted solely of Al-Mazeedi 10,000 sq. ft. of office space, an HR person, and one or two executive assistants the business model appears to be break-even at best. However, we have not included many other layers of costs:
If BTU is getting EVERYTHING else in the list above for FREE business is marginal at best. Otherwise, there's no way to see how it is not "underwater" unless some money is coming in to keep it afloat.

THE "NET RESULT" IN AL-MAZEEDI'S OWN WORDS
Al-Mazeedi himself acknowledges in the affidavits he's submitted in Court that various affiliates are essentially not viable as going concerns:
  • "Also, the Manager and Ventures needed financial infusion."  [1st Al-Mazeedi Affidavit, Paragraph 27(a)]
  • "...infuse monies into the Manager and Ventures to keep them afloat."  [1st Al-Mazeedi Affidavit, Paragraph 27(a)]
  • "The Manager, on the other hand, received no management profit and instead suffered a net loss of over $2 million ..."  [3rd Al-Mazeedi Affidavit, Paragraph 9]
Al-Mazeedi explains his strategy to "stabilize" and "grow" the business (presumably so he can keep things afloat and pay back the investors.)
  • "...I determined to stabilize the Fund's asset base in the Middle East and North Africa, and to reposition BTU Holdings and the Manager for growth as the only means to enhance the likelihood of returns to the Fund investors."  [1st Al-Mazeedi Affidavit, Paragraph 27(a)]
The last phrase highlighted in bold and red does not read "enhanced or greater returns," it doesn't even read "expected returns".  It just says returns. Period. In finance "returns" can refer to the "return of the investment capital" or "return on the investment capital." The former just means you get your money back. The latter means you get some profit on top of getting your money back. It almost reads as if he's expecting no profits unless things "grow." I don't imagine that he is implying that the return of the investors capital depends on "growth."

CONCLUSION
The numbers don't add up. But then again, that's a conclusion that's been reached before regarding other facets of  the $1 billion company. Maybe BTU Ventures, BTU Industries, QGEN (or the most recent incarnation) REALLY is just Al-Mazeedi, an HR "person," two assistants and 2,500 sq. ft. of office space for each person. If that's not the case, how do things stay afloat?

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

I can smiling knowing he is wasting his investors money, his money and his wife Mitsue Oishi's money.

We can all give our Thanksgiving blessing that it isn't our money being wasted.

Anonymous said...

New BTU Ventures Office 890 Winter Street

Anonymous said...

Sorry QGENENERGY

Anonymous said...

Sorry BTU Industries.

Anonymous said...

Sorry these cubicals are cheap at the new office.

Anonymous said...

Mgmt fee $980 to $1.18 million. Good estimate. An e-mail from Kenny to investors posted on this blog states $72 million invested, add another $50 million or so for TAPCO and you have $122 million, fee of 1% is $1.22 million annually.
Underwater? Yes, you'd think so.
How stay afloat? Cash from other sources.

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